The Chinese men are unbeatable. No other nation is seriously “in it to win it”.
But can the Chinese women’s gymnastics team be beaten?
Here are the start scores as estimated by Gymnast.com:

… Were you as surprised as I was that China ended up over 2 points ahead? Actually, if they put Sui Lu on the team they would gain even a couple more tenths on floor, but I’m not sure she’s quite shown the consistency to make this Olympic team so I put in Xiao Sha for that last spot instead. What does this all mean? I would say it means that despite how awesome the USA looks, China STILL has a huge advantage if they hit. …
read the rationale: Andrew Thornton – Reality check for the Women’s Team – Gymnast.com
Note that scores for both teams have been grossly inflated in some competitions.

Personally I believe China has very little chance of winning.
Why?
The Americans can easily handle the pressure. I’ve not one shred of evidence, aside from Cheng Fei, that the little girls of China can.
In 3-up, 3-down team finals the USA will have zero falls. China will have two or three falls, as well as more deductions in the B-score.
Related post: Reality Check – USA vs China Men
